By January 14, 2019 0 Comments Read More →

U.S. Shale Oil And Natural Gas, Underestimated Its Whole Life

I want to write on a recent piece in The Wall Street Journal, “Fracking’s Secret Problem—Oil Wells Aren’t Producing as Much as Forecast,” that speaks of an ‘illusory picture’ of prospects for the U.S. shale oil and gas industry. The article is based on the same rhetoric that we have been hearing since the industry’s takeoff back in 2008: well decline rates are too fast and recoverable reserves are overstated, so a conveyor belt of drilling must be installed to simply maintain production. If not, output inevitably plummets.

The WSJ story could just as easily been written a number of years ago.

To illustrate, back in 2012, the now defunct peak oil website Oil Drum infamously compared the U.S. shale industry to the Red Queen in Alice in Wonderland, who quipped that “It takes all the running you can do, to keep in the same place.”

Back on June 21, 2011, The New York Times ran a now forgotten piece also questioning the viability of shale: “Insiders Sound an Alarm Amid a Natural Gas Rush.” Read the article for yourself, but it cited the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas and a few geologists on their skepticism over the survival of the U.S. shale industry. To them, the bubble was about to burst.

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Posted in: Daily News

About the Author:

The Louisiana Oil & Gas Association (known before 2006 as LIOGA) was organized in 1992 to represent the Independent and service sectors of the oil and gas industry in Louisiana; this representation includes exploration, production and oilfield services. Our primary goal is to provide our industry with a working environment that will enhance the industry. LOGA services its membership by creating incentives for Louisiana’s oil & gas industry, warding off tax increases, changing existing burdensome regulations, and educating the public and government of the importance of the oil and gas industry in the state of Louisiana.

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